‘90% Chance’ You Can’t Get Covid This Way, Health Expert Says

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'90% Chance' You Can't Get Covid This Way, Health Expert Says


One of the uncertainties about the COVID-19 vaccines is whether they only prevent illness or also prevent vaccinated people from harboring the virus and passing it along. But there’s now an “80% to 90% chance” that vaccinated people don’t transmit the virus, a top health expert said Sunday. Read on to learn how it can influence safety guidelines—and to ensure your health and the health of others, don’t miss these Signs Your Illness is Actually Coronavirus in Disguise.

“Very Low Risk” For Fully Vaccinated to Mingle With Family

If true, that could have significant implications for COVID safety guidelines. Because of the ambiguity about transmission, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention currently recommends that vaccinated people wear a face mask and practice social distancing whenever they’re in public. 

“What we know right now is if you are exposed [to COVID-19] after full vaccination, you’re very, very, very unlikely to get sick, and you’re pretty unlikely to transmit it to others,” said Dr. Ashish Jha, dean of Brown University School of Public Health, on ABC’s This Week. “That transmission data isn’t foolproof yet, but all the evidence so far suggests that your likelihood of passing it on to somebody else is, probably down 80%, 90%, compared to if you weren’t vaccinated.”

Jha also said that family members who have taken only their first dose of a two-dose vaccine may be able to safely gather with other family who are fully vaccinated. “I think you’re pretty safe, as long as there’s no one in your family who’s a particularly high risk, no one with a severe health problem,” he said. “I think it is safe, and the CDC has come out and said as much.”

He added: “I think the bottom line that people have to know is that we’re not going to get to zero risk, but at that point when people are fully vaccinated, mingling with a family, there’s really a very, very low risk that anything bad is going to happen.”

RELATED: Doctors Say “DO NOT” Do This After Your COVID Vaccine.

More Gatherings May Be Safe This Summer

Jha also gave an optimistic view for this summer, saying that Americans may be able to safely socialize beyond outdoor gatherings with family. “I do think we’re looking at a wider opening” of the country, he said. “I think the question is, will everything that we used to do in 2019 be safe? My take is, even by July 4th, my expectation is that some proportion of Americans will have chosen not to get vaccinated. So they’re still going to be at risk, and we probably should avoid those large indoor gatherings where we know the virus is spread more efficiently. 

“But short of that, I do think we can do a lot more. It’s not just small family gatherings. We could have friends over, we can have probably larger gatherings indoors, especially if everybody is vaccinated.”   

RELATED: Dr. Fauci Just Said This is the Best Vaccine to Get

How to survive this pandemic

As for yourself, do everything you can to prevent getting—and spreading—COVID-19 in the first place: Wear a face mask, get tested if you think you have coronavirus, avoid crowds (and bars, and house parties), practice social distancing, only run essential errands, wash your hands regularly, disinfect frequently touched surfaces, and to get through this pandemic at your healthiest, don’t miss these 35 Places You’re Most Likely to Catch COVID.    



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